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Request for Proposals: AI for Forecasting and Sound Reasoning
https://coefficientgiving.org/funds/forecasting/request-for-proposals-ai-for-forecasting-and-sound-reasoning/
Overview
| Donor: | Coefficient Giving |
| Application procedure: | Online Application |
| Donor base: | United States |
| Reference number: | - |
| Eligible applicants: | Non-Profit Organisation, Social Business |
| Deadline: | 23.01.2026 |
Financial details
| Grant size: | Medium - up to $1,000,000 |
| Minimum grant size: | 100.000$ |
| Total available budget: | 10.000.000$ |
| Funding type: | Grants |
| Maximum grant size: | 1.000.000$ |
| Funding ratio: | up to 100% |
Sectors
- Research, Technology & Innovation
Project Locations
Africa
Algeria, Angola, Benin, Botswana, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cameroon, Cape Verde, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Djibouti, Egypt, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Eswatini, Ethiopia, Gabon, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Guinea Bissau, Ivory Coast, Kenya, Lesotho, Liberia, Libya, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mauritius, Morocco, Mozambique, Namibia, Niger, Nigeria, Republic of the Congo, Rwanda, Sao Tome and Principe, Senegal, Seychelles, Sierra Leone, Somalia, South Africa, South Sudan, Sudan, Tanzania, Togo, Tunisia, Uganda, Western Sahara, Zambia, Zimbabwe
America
Antigua and Barbuda, Argentina, Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, El Salvador, French Guiana, Grenada, Guatemala, Guyana, Haiti, Honduras, Jamaica, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Suriname, Trinidad and Tobago, Uruguay, Venezuela
Asia
Afghanistan, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Brunei, Cambodia, China, East Timor, India, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Japan, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Korea, Kuwait, Kyrgyzstan, Laos, Lebanon, Malaysia, Maldives, Mongolia, Myanmar, Nepal, North Korea, Oman, Pakistan, Palestine, Philippines, Qatar, Russian Federation, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Syria, Taiwan, Tajikistan, Thailand, Turkey, Turkmenistan, United Arab Emirates, Uzbekistan, Vietnam, West Bank and Gaza, Yemen
Europe
Albania, Armenia, Belarus, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Georgia, Hungary, Kosovo, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Montenegro, North Macedonia, Poland, Romania, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Ukraine
Pacific
Fiji, Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Micronesia, Nauru, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tonga, Tuvalu, Vanuatu
Description
1) Objective
Coefficient Giving believes that modern AI has the potential to improve our ability to reason in a structured and quantified way, and thereby improve human decision-making. To help realize this potential, they are launching a request for proposals (RFP) for two related areas of interest:
- AI for forecasting: They are looking for proposals for AI models that help to make forecasts more accurate or more relevant. They are primarily interested in probabilistic, judgmental forecasting, i.e. quantitative forecasts that cannot be based fully on large sets of structured data. Aside from models that directly produce forecasts, ideally approaching or exceeding human performance on forecasting tasks, they’re also looking to fund work on models that perform one or more of the subtasks involved in using forecasts for decision-making, such as explaining the reasoning behind forecasts or building forecasting models.
- AI for sound reasoning: Modern AI models are being adopted at a rapid pace throughout society, including for high-stakes decisions in law, academia and policy. They expect this trend to continue over the coming years, and possibly accelerate. It seems crucial to us that models that are used for highly consequential decisions are generally truth-oriented, and support such tendencies among their users.
2) Eligibility
They’re open to funding both nonprofit and for-profit organizations (including academic institutions), as well as individuals. However, we prefer nonprofit organizations. This means that if your organization is for-profit or if you apply for individual funding, your project will have to clear a higher bar.
3) Location
Actions can take place worldwide.
4) Budget
They plan to make grants totaling around $8-10 million for proposals submitted in this period. They expect the typical successful proposal will receive funding in the range of $100,000 to $1 million for a project duration between 6 months and 2 years.
5) Application
Submissions will be evaluated by Coefficient Giving’s Forecasting team. We will be accepting proposals at least until January 30, 2026.